Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Assessment of Indigenous Climate Change Adaptation Strategies and Its Impacts on Food Crop Yields in Osun State, Southwestern Nigeria

  • Full-Length Research Article
  • Published:
Agricultural Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This study investigated effects of indigenous climate change adaptation strategies on food crop yields in Osun State, southwestern Nigeria. It assessed changes in future climate (2031–2055) relative to the baseline period (1992–2016) and their impacts on the yields of 3 staple food crops (maize, rice and cassava). Robustness of the identified adaptation options adopted by local farmers was examined with a view to evaluating the opportunities of integrating indigenous adaptation options for climate-smart agriculture (CSA). A regional climate–crop modeling system (RegCM-DSSAT) and structured questionnaire were used for the study. A warmer and wetter future climate was projected with higher frequency of occurrence of false start of rainfall. Results also suggested future rise in the yield of cassava (8.2%) but declines in maize (− 9.2%) and rice (− 3.6%). Use of organic fertilizer, irrigation or fadama farming system and change in planting dates were ranked highly efficient indigenous adaptation strategies for improved crop yields. Model simulations projected 3.9% increase in cassava yield when irrigation farming system was adopted. This approach was found to offset the negative impact of future warming on the yields of maize and rice and increased their yields by 6.53% and 1.31%, respectively. Combined use of fertilizer and change in planting date was found to significantly enhance yields of maize (27.53%) and rice (21.49%). The paper concludes that integrated approach to indigenous climate change adaptation strategies, as required in CSA, could significantly reduce negative effects of future warming on food crop yields.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1

Adapted from [49]

Fig. 2
Fig. 3

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Abaje IB, Abashiya M, Onu V, Masugari DY (2017) Climate change impact and adaptation framework for rural communities in northern Nigeria. JORIND 15(2):142–150

    Google Scholar 

  2. Abiodun BJ, Adeyewa ZD, Oguntunde PG, Salami AT, Ajayi VO (2012) Modelling the impacts of reforestation on future climate in West Africa. Theor Appl Climatol 110:77–96

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Abiodun BJ, Pal JS, Afiesimama EA, Gutowski WJ, Adedoyin A (2008) Simulation of West African monsoon using RegCM3 part II: impacts of deforestation and desertification. Theor Appl Climatol 93:245–261

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Adejuwon JO (2004) Assessing the suitability of the EPIC crop model for use in the study of impacts of climate variability and climate change in West Africa. AIACC working paper no. 5

  5. Adejuwon JO (2006) Food crop production in Nigeria: II. Potential effects of climate change. Clim Res 32:229–245

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Ajetomobi J, Abiodun A (2010) Climate change impacts on cowpea productivity in Nigeria. Afr J Food Agric Nutr Dev 10:2258–2271

    Google Scholar 

  7. Apata TG, Samuel KD, Adeola AO (2009) Analysis of climate change perception and adaptation among arable food crop farmers in southwestern Nigeria. Paper presented in Beijing, China, 16–22 August 2009 at the conference of International Association of Agricultural Economics, pp 2–9

  8. Ayoola OT, Makinde EA (2007) Fertilizer treatment effects on performance of cassava under two planting patterns in a cassava-based cropping system in South West Nigeria. Res J Agric Biol Sci 3(1):13–20

    Google Scholar 

  9. Bayala J, Zougmoré R, Dayamba SD, Olivier A (2017) Editorial for the thematic series in agriculture and food security: climate-smart agriculture technologies in West Africa: learning from the ground AR4D experiences. Agric Food Secur 6:40. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40066-017-0117-5

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Bosello F, Zhang J (2005) Assessing climate change impacts: agriculture. CIP: climate impacts and policy division working paper no. 02. 2007, pp 31

  11. Brown O, Hammill A, Mcleman R (2007) Climate change as the ‘new’ security threat: implications for Africa. Int Aff 83:1141–1154

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. CCAFS (2016) Climate-smart villages. An AR4D approach to scale up climate smart agriculture. CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), Copenhagen. www.ccafscgiarorg. Accessed 16 Jan 2017

  13. Challinor AJ, Slingo JM, Wheeler TR, Craufurd PQ, Grimes DIF (2003) Toward a combined seasonal weather and crop productivity forecasting system: determination of the working spatial scale. J Appl Meteorol 42:175–192

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. CTA (2013) Climate-smart agriculture: success stories from farming communities around the world. http://cgspace.cgiar.org/bitstream/handle/10568/34042/Climate_smart_farming_successesWEB.pdf?sequence=5. Accessed 22 Apr 2014

  15. Davies H (1983) Limitations of some common lateral boundary schemes used in regional NWP models. Mon Weather Rev 111:1002–1012

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Davies HC (1976) A laterul boundary formulation for multi-level prediction models. Q J R Meteorol Soc 102(432):405–418

    Google Scholar 

  17. Dawe D, Dobermann A, Ladha JK, Yadav RL, Bao L, Gupta RK, Swarup A (2003) Do organic amendments improve yield trends and profitability in intensive rice systems? Field Crops Res 83(2):191–213

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Dejene M, Lemlem M (2012) Integrated agronomic crop managements to improve Teff productivity under terminal drought, water stress. In Tech Open Science, London

    Google Scholar 

  19. Dosio A, Panitz HJ (2016) Climate change projections for CORDEX-Africa with COSMO-CLM regional climate model and differences with the driving global climate models. Clim Dyn 46:1599–1625

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Fagariba CJ, Shaoxian Song S, Baoro SKGS (2018) Climate change adaptation strategies and constraints in northern Ghana: evidence of farmers in Sissala West District. Sustainability 10:1484. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10051484

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. FAO (2013) Climate-smart agriculture sourcebook. Executive summary, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Italy. http://www.faoorg/3/a-i3325epdf. Accessed 22 Apr 2014

  22. Fischer G, Shah M, van Velthuizen H (2002) Climate change and agricultural vulnerability. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. Report prepared under UN Institutional Contract Agreement 1113 for World Summit on Sustainable Development, Laxenburg

  23. Giorgi F, Jones C, Asrar GR (2009) Addressing climate information needs at the regional level: the CORDEX framework. WMO Bull 58(3):175–183

    Google Scholar 

  24. Hassan R, Nhemachena C (2008) Determinants of African farmers’ strategies for adapting to climate change: multinomial choice analysis. Afr J Res Econ 2(1):83–104

    Google Scholar 

  25. Hertel TW, Lobell DB (2014) Agricultural adaptation to climate change in rich and poor countries: current modeling practice and potential for empirical contributions. Energy Econ 46:562–575

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Hoogenboom, G, Porter CH, Shelia V, Boote KJ, Singh U, White JW, Hunt LA, Ogoshi R, Lizaso JI, Koo J, Asseng S, Singels A, Moreno LP, Jones JW (2017) Decision support system for agrotechnology transfer (DSSAT) Version 4.7. DSSAT Foundation, Gainesville. www.DSSAT.net. Accessed 14 Dec 2017

  27. Ilesanmi OO (1972) An empirical formulation of the onset, advance, and retreat of rainfall in Nigeria. J Trop Geogr 34:17–24

    Google Scholar 

  28. International Panel on Climate Change IPCC (2007). In contribution of working groups I, II and III to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Writing Team C, Pachauri RK, Reisinger A (eds). IPCC, Geneva, p 104

  29. IPCC (2000) Emission scenarios, 2000. In: Nakicencovic N, Swart R (eds) Special report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p 595. http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/spmpdf/sres-e.pdf. Accessed 11 Sept 2015

  30. Jones JW, Hoogenboom G, Porter CH, Boote KJ, Batchelor WD, Hunt LA, Wilkens PW, Singh U, Gijsman AJ, Ritchie JT (2003) DSSAT cropping system model. Eur J Agron 18:235–265

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Knox J, Hess T, Daccache A, Wheeler T (2012) Climate change impacts on crop productivity in Africa and South Asia. Environ Res Lett 7:034032. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034032

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Laprise R, Hernández-Díaz L, Tete K, Sushama L, Šeparovic L, Martynov A, Winger K, Valin M (2013) Climate projections over CORDEX Africa domain using the fifth-generation Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM5). Clim Dyn. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1651-2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Lawal KA (2010) Statistical Downscaling of climate change scenario over Nigeria. A thesis (B. Tech.), submitted to the Department of Meteorology, Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria

  34. Lobell DB, Burke MB, Tebaldi C, Mastrandrea MD, Falcon WP, Naylor RL (2008) Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science 319(5863):607–610

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  35. Lu J, Vecchi GA, Reichler T (2007) Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming. Geophys Res Lett 34:L06805. https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL028443

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Martey E (2018) Welfare effect of organic fertilizer use in Ghana. Heliyon 4:e00844. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2018.e00844

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  37. Masarirambi MT, Hlawe MM, Oseni OT, Sibiya TE (2010) Effects of organic fertilizers on growth, yield, quality and sensory evaluation of red lettuce (Lactuca sativa L.) ‘Veneza Roxa’. Agric Biol J N Am 1(6):1319–1324

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  38. McCarthy N, Brubaker J (2014) Climate-smart agriculture and resource tenure in Sub-Saharan Africa: a conceptual framework. FAO Rome

  39. Moss RH, Edmonds JA, Hibbard KA, Manning MR, Rose SK, van Vuuren DP, Carter TR, Emori S, Kainuma M, Kram T, Meehl GA, Mitchell JFB, Nakicenovic N, Riahi K, Smith SJ, Stouffer RJ, Thomson AM, Weyant JP, Wilbanks TJ (2010) The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 463(7282):747–756

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  40. Muller C, Cramer W, Hare WL, Lotze-Campen H (2011) Climate change risks for African agriculture. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 108:4313–4315

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  41. Murtala M, Abaje IB (2018) Effects of climate change on cowpea yield in Kaduna State, Nigeria: evidence from rainfall and temperature parameters. Dutse J Pure Appl Sci (DUJOPAS) 4(2):565–574

    Google Scholar 

  42. Nafiu AK, Togun AO, Abiodun MO, Chude VO (2011) Effects of NPK fertilizer on growth, dry matter production and yield of eggplant in southwestern Nigeria. Agric Bio J N Am. https://doi.org/10.5251/abjna.2011.2.7.1117.1125

    Article  Google Scholar 

  43. Nikulin G, Jones C, Giorgi F, Asrar G, Büchner M, Cerezo-Mota R, Christensen OB, Déqué M, Fernandez J, Hänsler A, van Meijgaard E, Samuelsson P, Sylla MB, Sushama L (2012) Precipitation climatology in an ensemble of CORDEX-Africa regional climate simulations. J Clim 25(18):6057–6078

    Article  Google Scholar 

  44. Odekunle TO (2004) Rainfall and the length of the growing season in Nigeria. Int J Climato 24:467–479

    Article  Google Scholar 

  45. Odjugo PAO (2010) General overview of climate change impacts in Nigeria. J Hum Ecol 29(1):47–55

    Article  Google Scholar 

  46. Oguntunde PG, Abiodun BJ, Olukunle OJ, Olufayo AA (2012) Trends and variability in pan evaporation and other climatic variables at Ibadan, Nigeria, 1973–2008. Meteorol Appl 19:464–472

    Article  Google Scholar 

  47. Ojanuga AG (1975) Morphological physical and chemical characteristics of soil of Ife and Ondo areas. J Sci 9:225–269

    Google Scholar 

  48. Oke SO, Ayanwale TO, Isola OA (2007) Soil seedbank in Four contrasting plantations in Ile-Ife area of Southwestern Nigeria. Res J Bot 2:13–22

    Article  Google Scholar 

  49. Olajire MA, Matthew OJ, Omotara OA, Aderanti A (2018) Assessment of food crop production in relation to climate variation in Osun State, Southwestern Nigeria. J Agric Eco Res Int 14(2):1–14

    Google Scholar 

  50. Olaniran OJ (1983) The monsoon factor and the seasonality of rainfall distribution in Nigeria. Malays J Trop Geogr 7:38–45

    Google Scholar 

  51. Olayide OE, Tetteh IK, Popoola L (2016) Differential impacts of rainfall and irrigation on agricultural production in Nigeria: any lessons for climate-smart agriculture? Agric Water Manag 178:30–36

    Article  Google Scholar 

  52. Ologunde OO (1987) Institute for Agriculture Research, ABU, Zaria. Samaru miscellaneous paper, vol 118, pp 4–6

  53. Omomowo IO, Salami AO, Olabiyi TI (2017) Preliminary study on climate seasonal and spatial variations on the abundance and diversity of fungi species in natural plantation ecosystems of Ile-Ife, South West, Nigeria. Afr J Environ Sci Technol 11(1):33–44

    Article  Google Scholar 

  54. Omotosho JB, Abiodun BJ (2007) A numerical study of moisture build-up and rainfall over West Africa. Meteorol Appl 14:209–225

    Article  Google Scholar 

  55. Onasanya RO, Aiyelari OP, Onasanya A, Oikeh S, Nwilene FE, Oyelakin OO (2009) Growth and yield response of maize (Zea mays L.) to different rates of nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizers in Southern Nigeria. World J Agric Sci 5(4):400–407

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  56. Otitoju MA (2013) The effects of climate change adaptation strategies on food crop production efficiency in Southwestern Nigeria. A thesis submitted to the Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, in Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Award of Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.) Degree in Agricultural Economics, 201 pp

  57. Oyiga BC, Haile M, Waschkeit C (2011) Implication of climate change on crop yield and food accessibility in Sub-Saharan Africa. Interdisciplinary term paper, ZEF, University of Bonn Doctoral Studies Program

  58. Ozor N, Madukwe MC, Enete AA, Amaechina EC, Onokala P, Eboh EC, Ujah O, Garforth CJ (2012) A framework for agricultural adaptation to climate change in southern Nigeria. Int J Agric Sci 4(5):243–251

    Article  Google Scholar 

  59. Roudier P, Sultan B, Quirion P, Berg A (2011) The impact of future climate change on West African crop yields: what does the recent literature say? Glob Environ Chang 21:1073–1083

    Article  Google Scholar 

  60. SRRBDA (1984) The Bakalori Irrigation Project, visitor’s brochure, Sokoto Rima River Basin Development Authority (SRRBDA)

  61. Steenwerth KL, Hodson AK, Bloom AJ, Carter MR, Andrea Cattaneo A, Chartres CJ, Hatfield JL, Henry K, Hopmans JW, Horwath WR, Jenkins BM, Kebreab E, Leemans R, Lipper L, Lubell MN, Msangi S, Prabhu R, Reynolds MP, Solis SS, Sischo WM, Springborn M, Tittonell P, Wheeler SM, Vermeulen SJ, Wollenberg EK, Jarvis LS, Jackson LE (2014) Climate-smart agriculture global research agenda: scientific basis for action. Agric Food Secur 3:11

    Article  Google Scholar 

  62. Sultan B, Gaetani M (2016) Agriculture in West Africa in the twenty-first century: climate change and impacts scenarios, and potential for adaptation. Front Plant Sci 7:1262

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  63. Sylla MB, Gaye AT, Jenkins GS, Pal JS, Giorgi F (2010) Consistency of projected drought over the Sahel with changes in the monsoon circulation and extremes in a regional climate model projections. J Geophys Res 115:1029–1043

    Article  Google Scholar 

  64. Tejada M, Gonzalez JL, García-Martínez AM, Parrado J (2008) Effects of different green manures on soil biological properties and maize yield. Bioresour Technol 99(6):1758–1767

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  65. Terdoo F, Adekola O (2014) Assessing the role of climate-smart agriculture in combating climate change, desertification and improving rural livelihood in Northern Nigeria. Afr J Agric Res 9(15):1180–1191

    Article  Google Scholar 

  66. Tolera A, Tolcha T, Tesfaye M, Haji K, Buzuayehu T (2018) Effect of integrated inorganic and organic fertilizers on yield and yield components of Barley in Liben Jawi District. Int J Agron 2018:2973286. https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/2973286

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  67. van Oort PAJ, Zwart SJ (2018) Impacts of climate change on rice production in Africa and causes of simulated yield changes. Glob Change Biol 24:1029–1045. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13967

    Article  Google Scholar 

  68. Vuuren DP, Edmonds J, Kainuma M, Riahi K, Thomson A, Hibbard K, Hurtt GC, Kram T, Krey V, Lamarque JF, Masui T, Meinshausen M, Nakicenovic N, Smith SJ, Rose SK (2011) The representative concentration pathways: an overview. Clim Change 109(1–2):5–31

    Article  Google Scholar 

  69. Worlf P (1995) The problem of sustainability of irrigation system. Appl Geogr 45(46):55–62

    Google Scholar 

  70. Yahaya MK (2002) Development and challenges of Bakolori irrigation project in Sokoto State, Nigeria. Nord J Afr Stud 11(3):411–430

    Google Scholar 

  71. Zougmoré R, Partey S, Ouédraogo M, Omitoyin B, Thomas T, Ayantunde A, Ericksen P, Said M, Jalloh A (2016) Toward climate-smart agriculture in West Africa: a review of climate change impacts, adaptation strategies and policy developments for the livestock, fishery and crop production sectors. Agric Food Secur 5:26

    Article  Google Scholar 

  72. Zhang B, Liu G, Li Z, Liu Y, Ye C, Liang Y (2009) Long-term effects of organic amendments on the rice yields for double rice cropping systems in subtropical China. Agric Ecosyst Environ 129(4):534–541

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The authors are greatly indebted to the Tertiary Education Trust Fund (TETFUND) Office, Abuja, Nigeria, for their financial support for this research project.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mudasiru A. Olajire.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Olajire, M.A., Matthew, O.J., Omotara, O.A. et al. Assessment of Indigenous Climate Change Adaptation Strategies and Its Impacts on Food Crop Yields in Osun State, Southwestern Nigeria. Agric Res 9, 222–231 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40003-019-00424-8

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40003-019-00424-8

Keywords

Navigation